Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.991267 4.272059 4.576692 4.934358 5.346267 5.810180 6.378658
2025-02-23 3.533324 3.894572 4.309058 4.828007 5.472871 6.266345 7.348962
2025-03-02 3.129692 3.520560 3.987186 4.600024 5.408505 6.480229 8.094036
2025-03-09 2.864962 3.280485 3.794356 4.499725 5.485835 6.897363 9.271828
2025-03-16 2.606893 3.022917 3.550679 4.299382 5.394345 7.063864 10.165159
2025-03-23 2.461563 2.894624 3.459948 4.293102 5.579543 7.705447 12.243578
2025-03-30 2.319979 2.758672 3.344710 4.236143 5.678618 8.245155 14.564362
2025-04-06 2.182410 2.617266 3.208620 4.130908 5.681616 8.622364 16.931513
2025-04-13 2.044881 2.466561 3.047038 3.968278 5.560276 8.726642 18.750351
2025-04-20 1.981969 2.414151 3.021587 4.015241 5.818748 9.743493 25.658581
2025-04-27 1.929139 2.371808 3.006587 4.076499 6.118829 11.028343 39.200764
2025-05-04 1.897377 2.356859 3.030643 4.205842 6.588434 13.111061 87.287807
2025-05-11 1.835371 2.300426 2.996005 4.247520 6.934391 15.371792 707.722117
2025-05-18 1.768039 2.232321 2.938127 4.241703 7.184584 17.750413 NaN
2025-05-25 1.682987 2.133096 2.823250 4.115901 7.116245 18.791667 NaN
2025-06-01 1.621332 2.066099 2.756407 4.075672 7.265962 21.393616 NaN
2025-06-08 1.547272 1.976485 2.646296 3.938139 7.122149 22.166662 NaN
2025-06-15 1.506397 1.935869 2.615293 3.956404 7.429852 27.210325 NaN
2025-06-22 1.460477 1.885004 2.563286 3.925215 7.588533 32.169651 NaN
2025-06-29 1.410491 1.825444 2.492583 3.846810 7.580551 35.838849 NaN
2025-07-06 1.355307 1.755508 2.400183 3.713284 7.362132 36.127911 NaN
2025-07-13 1.331897 1.734831 2.392327 3.762498 7.780272 51.572514 NaN
2025-07-20 1.311470 1.717824 2.389607 3.822929 8.276551 87.156257 NaN